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U znanstvenom \u010dasopisu \u201eWater\u201c objavljen je rad autora sa Hrvatskog geolo\u0161kog instituta pod nazivom \u201eEffects of Precipitation Trends, Extremes, and Antecedent Moisture Controls on Landslide Triggering in Hum na Sutli and Northern Croatia\u201c.<\/p>\n
U radu je prikazana analiza oborina i dan je kratki osvrt na istra\u017eivanja provedena na klizi\u0161tu Hum na Sutli, u sjevernoj Hrvatskoj. Provedena analiza pokazuje da se aktivacija klizi\u0161ta Hum na Sutli ne mo\u017ee pripisati isklju\u010divo pojedina\u010dnim ekstremnim oborinskim doga\u0111ajima, ve\u0107 prije svega kumulativnom u\u010dinku prethodnih oborina i postupnom zasi\u0107enju tla vodom. Rezultati upu\u0107uju na pove\u0107anu varijabilnost padalina te tendenciju \u010de\u0161\u0107e pojave ekstremnih i vi\u0161ednevnih oborinskih doga\u0111aja. Sezonski obrasci nagla\u0161avaju va\u017enost oborina tijekom toplijeg dijela godine, osobito krajem ljeta i po\u010detkom jeseni, kao kriti\u010dnih razdoblja za pojavu nestabilnosti padina u ovom podru\u010dju. Rezultati potvr\u0111uju da je prethodna vla\u017enost tla, predstavljena povi\u0161enim vrijednostima API-ja (Antecedent Precipitation Index \u2013 indeks prethodnih oborina), klju\u010dan predisponiraju\u0107i \u010dimbenik koji zna\u010dajno pove\u0107ava podlo\u017enost padina klizanju. U takvim uvjetima \u010dak i oborinski doga\u0111aji umjerenog intenziteta mogu djelovati kao okida\u010di klizanja. Slijedom toga, predlo\u017eene su preliminarne vrijednosti oborinskih pragova kao prakti\u010dne smjernice za sustave ranog upozoravanja lokalnih zajednica u podru\u010djima s pove\u0107anom opasno\u0161\u0107u od klizi\u0161ta u sjevernoj Hrvatskoj.\u00a0<\/p>\n